Two Chances to Buy Apple (AAPL): One Was Far Better Than the Other

March 20, 2025|

Investors often buy stocks based on emotions rather than facts. Apple (AAPL) offered two very different buying opportunities—one in December 1999 and another in December 2000. The key difference? Valuation.

No-Regrets Investing with Equity Risk Sciences

March 19, 2025|

Most people think investing is about picking stocks and hoping they go up. But real investing is more like running an insurance company. The most successful investors—those who have built billions in wealth—know that some of their investments will lose money. But they don’t let those losses shake their confidence because they understand the big picture.

Viking Therapeutics (VKTX): Identifying Danger Before It Strikes

March 18, 2025|

Viking Therapeutics (VKTX) is a textbook example of how ERS risk ratings can help investors avoid catastrophic losses. Despite sharp declines in its stock price over the past year, VKTX remained a high-risk stock at every stage of its fall.

Should Fiduciaries Use NPV?

March 13, 2025|

Comparing the Net Present Value (NPV) of a public company with its market capitalization is one of the most rigorous and reliable methods for assessing whether a stock is overvalued or undervalued.

Palantir (PLTR): Risk vs. Reality

March 12, 2025|

At Equity Risk Sciences, we don’t deal in speculation—we quantify risk. Palantir (PLTR) may be growing, but is it a safe investment? The data tells a different story.

Reddit’s Market Cap Collapsed – Here’s Why

March 10, 2025|

Last month, investors valued Reddit at $40.75 billion. Today? $19.4 billion—a 52% drop in just over 30 days. What went wrong? Was Reddit ever worth $40 billion? What’s stopping it from falling to $10 billion—or even lower?

Microsoft: A Case Study in Overpaying for Growth

March 10, 2025|

Imagine holding Microsoft stock in 1999—one of the world's greatest companies—only to watch it lose 37% over the next decade. What went wrong? Overvaluation. In this video, we use Equity Risk Sciences’ Profit Map™ to break down why price matters more than growth and how investors can avoid these costly mistakes.

How Investors Lost $1.16 Trillion – Even as Revenues Soared

March 10, 2025|

In 1999, investors were paying too much for the biggest stocks in the market. Over the next 10 years, revenues for these companies nearly doubled—but their stock prices collapsed. Why? Overvaluation. Investors paid too much.