At Equity Risk Sciences, we don’t speculate—we quantify. We analyze 15,000 companies daily using data science, identifying the statistical probability of price changes. MongoDB (MDB) was never a safe bet, and our Fiduciary Risk Rating (FRR) confirmed it with a rating of 100—the highest risk level possible.
- Price-to-Sales Ratio: MDB traded at a P/S of 50—historically, stocks at this level have virtually zero chance of long-term gains.
- Valuation Metrics: Investors paid $37 billion for a company with $800M in revenue and growing losses—a lottery ticket, not an investment.
- Liquidity vs. Strength: While flush with cash, MDB had no historical evidence of profitability or durability.
Even after a 70% decline, MDB remains unsuitable for fiduciaries. Data beats opinion—yet Wall Street analysts still push stocks without statistical support.
If you’re investing without a risk-first approach, are you really investing?
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By Raymond M. Mullaney, CEO
March 10, 2025